It should sufficee, if everyone in chapter 16 and chapter 17 does concistently worse in the tournament because of the penalty.
No, you're thinking like Lukas, and it's wrong.
For example, he said that
"Players with several diamond expansions and high wonder levels are doing better than players without."
Duh! Of course, they will because that pretends that only those 2 variables exist.
Sure, if everyone does worse in chapter 17 than in chapter 15 they could see the problem, but other variables will change the outcome.
Players will obviously not just go from chapter 15 to 17 with zero other changes. They will also increase the levels of the good wonders over time, especially when at the end of the chapters with no techs left to do.
You (inno) have to account for
all parts of the formula to make a comparison, anything else is dishonest.
E.G.
Chapter 16 start
Level 11 every wonder
vs
Chapter 17 end
Same wonders
The one at the end of chapter 17 is undeniably in a worse position for the tournament & spire.
But what really happens is:
Chapter 17 end
Same wonders Add 10+ levels to each of the military wonders
Then Lukas will see this change and say "See? The
red player is doing more than the
green player so all is well."
This fails to make a fair comparison! You can't compare
red and green chapters if you change
wonder levels.
You have to allow for the 4th option:
Chapter 16 start
Level 11 every wonder Add 10+ levels to each of the military wonders
Purple is by far the best of the 4 options, and THAT is the problem that they have yet to acknowledge.