That is exactly what I mean. The most likely outcome if you actualy choose the cheapest staf (not the cheapest chest!) is that you will have the whole set.

Do you know that for a fact? Have you done the math? Please show your work.

I got 1 out of 6 picking the best chests, Eudae got 1 out of 7 I think, and many others got similar results, so I'd like to see mathematical facts to go with such a statement.

Edit:

Here are my numbers for live

3630* for quests

770 for dailies

400 for milestones

400** for collects

----

5,200

That means you need to average 20 currency per point which is going to be a pretty neat trick when every choice other than 18 is much higher than that.

*I don't have the quest numbers, everyone's list still shows pre-nerf, so I deducted ~15%

** 18 collects per day seemed reasonable.