What. The. HELL?!? Who thought this was a good diea?
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5% chance to get 500 Flares? This just makes the event even MORE luck-dependent than the Phoenix event. And that one was already VERY luck-dependent. Just to put things into perspective:
In my main city (on en2) I got my Pheanix to level 9. In my second city (en1) I got my Phoenix to level 10. In other words I got two more grand prizes in en1. In both cities I completed roughtly the same number of quests (I think I complete 1 or 2 quests LESS in en1), however I got a lot more 200 Essences from opening chests in en1, and that led to more chests overall.
Now instead of 5% chance for 200 essences we have 5% chance for 500 flares. That just makes it even more luck-based - 500 is more flares that you get from the first 10 (maybe even first 20) quests!
I will continue with the event simply because I have nothing better to do, but I REALLY hate such gambling events. I hope in future events the "event currency" rewards for completing quests will be increased while the "event currency" rewards from chests will be decreased so that we don't have to rely on luck so much.