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Gamer's probability chart

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by edeba, May 17, 2019.

  1. edeba

    edeba Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 17, 2017
    I do not understand this chart at all, or how they came up with the numbers. I was trying to understand that 1% portal profit column and it completely eludes me. If someone can shed some insight into these calculations please do so.

    upload_2019-5-17_9-1-47.png
     
  2. edeba

    edeba Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 17, 2017
    Anyone understand this?
     
    Wowwie likes this.
  3. SoggyShorts

    SoggyShorts Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 20, 2016
    Yeah it just tells you how many sunglasses things cost based on your choice of box
     
  4. LordB

    LordB Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 10, 2015
    There's probably a mistake.
    As I understand it they calculate the average cost for 1% supplies, coins, portal profit from the instants for better comparison, since we have 5%, 10%, etc instants.
    For the coin instant from the 26 flares chests it looks right for example:
    26 [Flares] / 0,5 [chance for a 10% instant] / 10 [to get the cost for 1% coins] = 5,2 Flares
    But the Portal Profit calculation looks wrong, should be
    (142 [Flares] - 0,05 [chance to get] x 500 [Flares]) / 0,15 [chance for 33% PP] / 33 = 23,64 Flares
     
    Last edited: May 18, 2019
    Wowwie likes this.
  5. Wowwie

    Wowwie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 3, 2016
    Took me a a couple of mins Understood more after reading Lord B's ^explanation
     
  6. RandomNo.

    RandomNo. Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Dec 18, 2018
    Because the prizes don't all give the same amounts of rewards, E.g. you could get a 5 KP instant or a 10 KP instant. A 10% coin rain or a 25% coin rain. A 2h boost or 4h boost. So everything is normalized to to 1 unit.

    1 KP
    1% of portal goods
    1% of coin
    1% of supplies
    1h speed
    1 spell

    Etc
     
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  7. edeba

    edeba Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 17, 2017
    Thanks. I only looked at the portal profit calculation so I couldn't figure it out at all, or that the other calculations made sense and it was the only one that didn't.

    QUOTE="LordB, post: 73242, member: 778"]There's probably a mistake.
    As I understand it they calculate the average cost for 1% supplies, coins, portal profit from the instants for better comparison, since we have 5%, 10%, etc instants.
    For the coin instant from the 26 flares chests it looks right for example:
    26 [Flares] / 0,5 [chance for a 10% instant] / 10 [to get the cost for 1% coins] = 5,2 Flares
    But the Portal Profit calculation looks wrong, should be
    (142 [Flares] - 0,05 [chance to get] x 500 [Flares]) / 0,15 [chance for 33% PP] / 33 = 23,64 Flares[/QUOTE]
     
  8. LordB

    LordB Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 10, 2015
    Making my own spreadsheet I have 2 more differences flares/boosthour for the 85 chest and flares/kp for the 142 chest.
    Also calculated flares/KP for wonder and "normal" KP together, since we can use both on Wonders. :)
    2019-05-19 12_51_56-SuSo.ods - OpenOffice Calc.png
     
    Last edited: May 19, 2019 at 12:53
  9. edeba

    edeba Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 17, 2017
    Nice sheet. Can you share the sheet?

     

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